If you’re going to find out the weather forecast for a specific city, you’ll need to know its name.
In a new study, researchers from the University of Bristol found that when people are asked to guess which city in the United Kingdom would be driest, they often get wrong.
“We wanted to investigate why this is and what might be different about UK cities that are wetter than average,” lead researcher Dr. Sarah Ackerly said in a press release.
“So we decided to find a city where rain has been forecast to be most severe for the week and then use a tool that accurately predicted the weather in the UK.”
They found that guessing the city’s name was more accurate than guessing its actual temperature, which was much more accurate.
In other words, the city in question predicted that the temperatures would be the driest for the following week and also predicted the temperature at the end of the week would be higher than average.
“These are important findings as they could help us better understand why some UK cities have more severe weather than others, especially in areas that experience large-scale droughts,” the researchers wrote in their paper.
“They also highlight the importance of climate change in the weather extremes we see in the developing world.”
The study was published in the journal Climatic Change.